Reader Bags Fly Free of the Wages of Wins asks : “Do Wade and Bosh give Miami 40 or so wins combined based on last year’s WoW evaluation? if LBJ doesn’t join them I do not see them doing a whole lot better than last season (47 wins total)”
Here’s my quick answer:
Right know they’d struggle to hit .500. They had 47.2 Wins Produced in 2010. They lost 28.47 to free agency. Let’s give them plus 5 for a healthy wade and 12 for Bosh (which is kind) and we have 35 wins. If they can get LBJ that goes to 60 wins (without anyone else and South Beach is a big lure). If LBJ is out and they can lure one more free agent of value (Lee,Boozer for example) and some decent bench guys they might hit 50.
Here’s it is in table form:
Go check Robbie O’Malley’s awesome expansion on this subject.