A Visual look back at the Season so far

I been working on a project or two this weekend. As readers this means you will be getting some cool work in the future. It also means I’m a little short on time right now. Unfortunately, this means you’ll have to settle for some cool infographs today.

Terminator Apocalypse before you ask.

 

Fortunately, I’ve been playing around with some cool ways to visualize the season so far. Particularly, I’ve been looking at changing team performance for the year (see here for the Basics behind the analysis). I played around with a few methods for fun and finally came up with two I liked.

Chart 1 looks at team win projection at the end of each week of the NBA season so far based on Year to Date production of Wins.

We can see the top teams ( Spurs,Heat, Celts,Lakers, Bulls and Magic). We can see the worst teams (Cleveland and New Jersey come on down). We can also see the teams that are improving ( Memphis, Philadelphia & the Clippers) and those that are going the other way (Dallas, Utah & New Orleans).

For the second table, I looked at ranking by week based on Year to date performance and the average value of the ranking.

Miami has dominated the season so far in terms of consistently being near the top with San Antonio,Boston and LA nipping at their heel. Chicago is clearly the up and coming contender while Orlando is stuck in place. Interestingly, the only other team out west looking like an improving possible contender is the Nuggets (that Melo trade may shape the postseason just not the way the media thinks).

I think you’ll agree: tables and charts can be fun.

 

Image courtesy of xkcd.com

11 Comments

  1. EntityAbyss
    1/23/2011
    Reply

    I still don’t understand why Cleveland is playing so bad and I’m sure it can’t be just Lebron. Almost all these guys are having the worst ts% of their whole careers. Most of them are shooting below 50% ts. It’s horrible.

    Then in Washington, The Gilbert Arenas trade is looking good as Rashard Lewis is playing much better than he did on the magic.

    Lastly, in Golden State, the team hasn’t improved from last year’s defensive rebound %, but yet everyone has regressed in regards to rebounding %. The rebounds are there. They’re just not getting them. Also, Radmanovich is getting a ton of minutes while David Lee, Andris Biedrins, and Brandan Wright are not getting those minutes. Why does Radmanovich play so many minutes at the 4 when defensive rebounding is the problem?

    However, it’s an 82 game season and not a 41 game season, so this is interesting.

    • some dude
      1/23/2011
      Reply

      Cavs – injuries have killed them. I recently read that Byron Scott has to continually remind players during timeouts where to go on his play calls because there’s so many D-leaguers and new guys out there. I didn’t know a couple of there players when they came around. When I don’t know 1, it’s pretty bad. When I don’t know 2-3, your team is trash. And they were in the rotation! I think people have to understand this cleveland team is nothing like last year’s, even ignoring Lebron. Shaq, Z, West all gone. Varajeo done. Mo Williams was hurt a lot, Jamison missed time, and Moon didn’t play much. Also Parker is hurt or something. Oh, and the team has no heart.

      regarding GS – Biedriens was hurt, which is why Radman played more I assume. And he is in foul trouble a lot. Lee is playing 36mpg which is a lot. I wasn’t aware Wright is playing again, so I got no answer for that one.

  2. EntityAbyss
    1/23/2011
    Reply

    By the way (sorry for the double), how’s the defense adjusted WP going? I was wondering that with the zone defenses, is a player responsible for the production of the player at his position on the opposing team?

    • 1/23/2011
      Reply

      Remember I said I was working on some projects? Defense adjusted is one.

  3. some dude
    1/23/2011
    Reply

    Miami after 1 week had 85 win projection! Impressive for an 82 game season. Even moreso since they were spanked by the Celtics in that opening week.

    I wonder if Cleveland will have to give wins back as the season progresses.

    • JT
      1/23/2011
      Reply

      With regard to the Heat in the first week, they lost to the Celtics by 8, and were down by as little as 3 with a minute to go. So I’m not exactly sure “spanked” is an accurate word choice. They won their next three games by 10, 26, and 23 with the 26 being against the Magic. So the model showing them as a great team is understandable, regardless of the public perception at the time.

    • 1/23/2011
      Reply

      Probably. If I were them, I’d give up and treat the season as a scouting experiment. Just keep rotation the roster and given an extended audition to any an all possible leads out there.

      • some dude
        1/24/2011
        Reply

        who should give up? The heat? I don’t think they can beat Boston without HCA at the least.

        I forgot about that Orlando drubbing. But shouldn’t Orlando have been predicted under 45 wins, then? Or did they kill someone else to balance it?

        That Boston-Miami score was misleading. I guess i forgot Miami closed to gap to make it look like they weren’t dominated in both Boston games.

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