Diane: How would you characterize “The Great Gatsby”?
Thornton Melon: He was… uh… great!
– Back to School
I always cover the NCAA a certain way. I’m not a huge fan of the college game. I’ve said this before.
— The man with the #’s (@ArturoGalletti) March 14, 2015
However, I love the draft. I love the idea of mapping and projecting players. So every year, I gather up all the data and evaluate all the players for the NBA draft. I also take the time, incidentally, to do a rather successful tournament projection.
This is great but it doesn’t really provide a full picture.
This year, I wanted to go further. This year I decided, I was going to try to do metrics and Ratings for every single player and every single game for the current NCAA season. I wanted to do what no one else had done.
I wanted a full, comprehensive and interactive view of all NCAA players.
It wasn’t easy. Excel bitched the whole damn way. The first build crashed catastrophically three hours in. I persevered.
At 2:00 am eastern time last night, I had it and now so do you.
The NCAA Interactive Ratings for 2014-15 (Which you can select dates, players, conferences,etc.)
Everything there follows the same rules as the NBA metric (see here). Or as explained visually next.
I don’t have a lot of time (building an NCAA tourney model don’t you know) but I wanted to give you a flavor of the tool. Let’s take it for a spin and look at the 3 best players with greater than 700 minutes played in the NCAA this year.
The Top players look like so.
Let’s go 1 by 1 for the Top 3 (as I said time is short!). Graphically!
Towns is the best player on a historically great Kentucky team. This should not be surprising. The draft projections this year will be insane.
Who? Ochefu is 6’11” junior who rates as the best player on the second best team in the country (Villanova). He looks to be a Kenny Faried type. This is a good thing.
The seven footer from Wisconsin is only below par at offensive rebounding. Given his three point prowess? Perfectly reasonable. I’d comp him to Kevin Love based on the numbers.
My gut tells me this next draft will be amazing.
More on this to come of course.